Business booms as Donegal company tips its hats to Peaky Blinders!

first_imgBusiness at Hanna Hats in Donegal Town is booming with the success of shows like Peaky Blinders.The company says it is now making more than 2,000 caps a week to the United States.The first Hanna Hats were made in 1964 by David Hanna Snr. David had worked in Donegal with a Mr McDaid but then started his own business when Mr McDaid passed away.Hanna had learned his trade after he was reared in Belfast by the Christian Brothers where he would sew on all of their buttons.The company went into liquidation in 1986 but John and Mary Hanna bought the company back in 1991 and it has made steady progress since.Grand-daughter Eleanor Hanna told the Mail on Sunday that shows like Peaky Blinders starring Cillian Murphy are helping business. “Shows like Peaky Blinders have been fantastic. They stock our Sherlock Holmes hat in the BBC catalogue and when the show airs we get huge interest.“The caps are quite trendy now. We took in a designer through the Northwest Regional College. She is helping us with designs and machines.“We are tweaking the products and making them more fashionable,” she said.The company buys its tweeds from various suppliers including Magee which juts happens to be around the corner on The Diamond in Donegal TownBut the oldest cap is still its bestseller. “Our vintage caps is still the bestseller. It would have been the cap that grandad started off with,” added Eleanor.Business booms as Donegal company tips its hats to Peaky Blinders! was last modified: August 11th, 2019 by StephenShare this:Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)Click to share on Pocket (Opens in new window)Click to share on Telegram (Opens in new window)Click to share on WhatsApp (Opens in new window)Click to share on Skype (Opens in new window)Click to print (Opens in new window)Tags:CapsDonegal TownHanna HatsPeaky Blinderslast_img read more

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Amber Alert: New Discoveries in Old Sap

first_img(Visited 18 times, 1 visits today)FacebookTwitterPinterestSave分享0 Even old pieces of amber in a museum drawer can reveal unexpected surprises.Several news pieces recently have focused on the dried tree sap known as amber.  Fossils in amber are among the very most exquisite of all, because they preserve the 3-D animals themselves with all their parts intact.Roving through amber:  The Entomological Society of America announced the oldest “rove beetle” ever found, preserved beautifully in a piece of amber from France.  Rove beetles are members of the Omaliini tribe, the largest group of beetles with 60,000 members.  This one increases the fossil record of rove beetles by 100 million years from the Cenozoic into the Cretaceous, the abstract of the paper notes.  The press release includes a very detailed reconstruction made by imaging the inside of the opaque resin with X-rays.Big old collection:  Roving through a decades-old collection of Dominican amber are producing new secrets.  Young scientists at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign started combing through 160 pounds of amber collected back in the 1950s.  This amber, thought to be 20 million years old, provided some new evidence for evolution, the press release claims:Perhaps the most striking discovery thus far is that of a pygmy locust, a tiny grasshopper the size of a rose thorn that lived 18- to 20-million years ago and fed on moss, algae and fungi. The specimen is remarkable because it represents an intermediate stage of evolution in the life of its subfamily of locusts (known as the Cladonotinae). The most ancient representatives of this group had wings, while modern counterparts do not. The newly discovered locust has what appear to be vestigial wings — remnant structures that had already lost their primary function.If this is an example of evolution, then, it represents degradation: loss of a pre-existing complex trait, not like evolving new wings.Live Science presented a photo gallery of the beautifully-preserved insects found in this collection.  Among the photos is an unidentified mammal hair, and two flies trapped in the act of mating.Baltic Chinese immigrant:  Another big collection, this time from the Baltic Sea region, is being analyzed by scientists from the University of Bonn.  Science Daily shows a beautifully-preserved mosquito found in one of the 3,000 pieces being examined.  What’s weird about it is that this is a “Chinese mosquito” found across the world near Poland, some 10,000 km away from similar ones found in Fushun, China.  Thought to be 40-50 million years old, the Chinese immigrant presents a mystery:The pieces from the Baltic region are slightly younger than the ones from Fushun-according to estimates, about 40 to 50 million years. At that time, Europe and Asia were divided by the Strait of Turgay, a wide arm of the ocean. Many researchers had assumed until now that this body of saltwater prevented species migrations between the continents—or at least, made it much harder. “Consequently, the great similarity of the included insects has been a great surprise to us,” said Rust. “We don’t know yet how that fits together.”Outside of India, Fushun is one of the two rare amber sites in Asia.  Scientists studying samples from an open-pit mine there have so far found “arachnids and insects from more than 80 families” said to be 53 million years old.The millions-of-years talk and the evolution-talk are worthless bits of noise in the news.  Exquisite fossils like these entombed in gem-like stones can be appreciated for their own sake without force-fitting them into a world view that is ridiculous, calling loss of wings “an intermediate stage in the evolution in the life” of something, and finding no evolution at all in millions of years.  Addicts must have their Darwine, the more aged the better.last_img read more

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Aspiring Entrepreneurs: Check Yourself Before You Wreck Yourself

first_imgTop Reasons to Go With Managed WordPress Hosting 8 Best WordPress Hosting Solutions on the Market A Web Developer’s New Best Friend is the AI Wai… Why Tech Companies Need Simpler Terms of Servic… Related Posts center_img chris cameron A month ago in our list of the “Top 6 Colleges with Entrepreneurial Programs” we highlighted the opportunities for the forward thinkers at Babson College in Massachusetts. Babson also happens to be the professional home of Daniel Isenberg, a management practice professor, who recently contributed to the Harvard Business Review’s “The Conversation” blog with a post titled, “Should You Be an Entrepreneur? Take This Test.” In his post Isenberg provides twenty questions that any aspiring entrepreneur should ask themselves before quitting their day job to make sure they have what it takes to succeed.“I’ve learned in my own years as an entrepreneur — and now an entrepreneurship professor — that there is a gut level “fit” for people who are potential entrepreneurs,” writes Isenberg. “There are strong internal drivers that compel people to create their own business.”Isenberg’s self-examination includes true/false statements like, “I don’t like being told what to do by people who are less capable than I am,” and “I would rather fail at my own thing than succeed at someone else’s.” After completing the 20-part checklist, Isenberg gives you the entrepreneurial green light if you answered “yes” to 17 or more of the questions.According to Isenberg’s checklist, the ideal entrepreneur likes to win, likes to “question conventional wisdom”, is “rarely satisfied” and gets so excited by their ideas that they “can’t sit still”. Of course, having some entrepreneurship in your blood can’t hurt either; one of Isenberg’s signs of an entrepreneur is having members of their family or close friends who run their own business. For his final question, he suggests that a worthy entrepreneur “could have written a better test” than his.Isenberg warns that while answering “yes” to most of these questions could mean you’d make a good entrepreneur, it doesn’t necessarily mean you should quit your job right away. “Do you have debts to pay? Kids in college? Alimony? Want to take it easy? Maybe better to wait,” he writes. Finally, he adds that risk-takers and money-seekers do not make for good entrepreneurs. “People don’t choose to be entrepreneurs by opting for a riskier lifestyle,” writes Isenberg. “Risk is ultimately a personal assessment: what is risky for me is not risky for you.”Can a simple checklist weed-out the true entrepreneurs with potential from the wannabes looking to make quick cash? Or is there more to one’s potential for success as an entrepreneur than these twenty attributes? Let us know what you think makes for great entrepreneurs in the comments. Tags:#start#tips last_img read more

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5 New Year’s Resolutions for Caregivers

first_imgIt’s the beginning of a new year! During this time we like to reflect on the passing year and make resolutions for a better year to come in caregiving. Here are five New Year’s resolutions that you should consider when caring for a loved one. 1. Take care of yourselfMake your health and well-being a priority this year. It is important that you take care of yourself, not only so you are better able to care for others but also so that you are able to live a life with less stress. Allow yourself some time each day to be alone, do something during this time that is beneficial for your happiness and health.2. Ask for help when neededSometimes we feel that we should be able to do everything, all the time, all on our own. We can begin to feel that by asking for help we are showing weakness and we are placing a burden on our friends and family. This is not the case. Don’t feel like you have to take on that role alone.3. Accept help when neededSometimes help is offered, and we are not willing to take it. Often times the reason being, that we feel we are the only ones who can do it correctly, or something will go wrong if you are not in control of all aspects. Allow others to help you, although they might not do things exactly the way you would have, having that help alleviates some of your stress and responsibilities.4. Ask questionsDon’t be afraid to ask questions and get clarifications. You are not expected to know or figure out everything on your own. Ask for ideas and guidance from those who are in similar situations, or professionals.5. Use respite care when you need a breakUnderstand that it is normal to want and need a break. Allow yourself that time to step away from caregiving and recuperate. This MFLN-Military Caregiving concentration blog post was published January 8, 2016.last_img read more

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Working with Speedlights: A Free Advanced Photography Course

first_imgLearn how incorporating speedlights into your photography sessions can produce stunning images in this free photography course.Speedlights can be a scary thing for those transitioning from beginner to intermediate photographer. Just mastering all the on-camera settings can take a lot of time, so throwing a speedlight in the mix can be a bit overwhelming to someone looking to take their photography to the next level.Just like with everything else in photography, using speedlights takes practice, but besides simply going out and shooting with one there are a few really great online resources that you can use to improve your strobe skills. We just recently found this awesome advanced photography course featuring photographer Joe McNally. The course specifically covers speedlight photography and we highly recommend it to anyone looking shoot better portraits. The course covers: Bouncing LightHigh/Low Key LightingWorking with ModelsCreatively Manipulating LightThis video was obviously created as a marketing effort for Nikon, but don’t worry! All of these concepts completely apply to other camera/speedlight models too. In fact, even if you are a Nikon shooter you can purchase speedlights that are just as good as Nikon brand for a fraction of the price. So I highly recommend doing some research online before committing to an expensive speedlight.If you are still wanting to incorporate manufactured light into your photography I highly recommend checking out the Strobist; where you can find some great articles and courses all about lights.Do you have any tips for shooting with speedlights? Share in the comments below.last_img read more

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Inaugural 3X3 league tips off February 16

first_imgView comments “And if we’re able to host the Challenger Cup and there’s a very good chance Fiba will grant us that right to host the Challenger Cup, as a host country they will allow us to field six teams in that international tournament, six Philippine teams playing in that tournament will rack up a lot of points,” he added. “All we need to do is to hold more and more international tournaments here in the Philippines this 2019. So 2019 will be a very busy year for 3X3.”Twelve city-based teams will be slugging it out in the first conference, the President’s Cup.The squads are the Bacoor Strikers, 1Bataan, Bulacan Kuyas, Cebu-Max 4 Birada, Manila Stars, Marikina Shoemakers, Pasig-Grindhouse Kings, Quezon City-Zark’s Jawbreakers, San Juan-Go for Gold Knights, the Valenzuela Classic, Vigan Baluante, and Zamboanga Valientes.Former PBA veterans in Gabby Espinas, Ronjay Buenafe, Dylan Ababou, Mac Cardona and Larry Rodriguez to name a few will be testing their skills on a different basketball stage where the game is played on a much-faster pace.After the press conference, a preseason tournament was held at Ynares Pasig to help the teams get accustomed to the rules and style of play in 3X3.ADVERTISEMENT Don’t miss out on the latest news and information. MOST READ TS Kammuri to enter PAR possibly a day after SEA Games opening Pasig-Grindhouse, led by Ababou and Fil-American prospect Josh Munzon, won the preseason tournament after beating San Juan, 21-15, in the finals. Taylor Statham and former National University Bulldog Troy Rike are also part of the Pasig team.Ababou, an original member of the Smart Gilas Pilipinas team, played seven seasons in the PBA before Columbian Dyip surprisingly let him go after the 2018 season.The one-time UAAP champion and MVP out of University of Santo Tomas said he’s grateful for the opportunity to play in the 3X3 league after he was left unsigned in the PBA.The likes of Alvin Pasaol, University of the East’s offensive menace, and Kib Montalbo, the defensive ace who just wrapped up his final year with the De La Salle Green Archers in the 81st Season of the UAAP, are just among the young guns the players to watch out for.Other notable collegiate stars are Larry Muyang of the Letran Knights and Anton Asistio, who helped the Ateneo Blue Eagles repeat as UAAP champions in his final season.Games will be played either at SM Megamall or SM Fairview and will be shown live on ESPN5.Sports Related Videospowered by AdSparcRead Next LOOK: Joyce Pring goes public with engagement to Juancho Triviño Is Luis Manzano planning to propose to Jessy Mendiola? CONTRIBUTED PHOTOSome of the country’s collegiate stars and former pros will be in action in the Philippines’ inaugural 3X3 league which tips off on February 16.The Chooks-to-Go Pilipinas 3X3 was officially launched on Monday in a press conference. The league was formed with an ultimate goal of qualifying in the maiden 3X3 event in the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.ADVERTISEMENT LATEST STORIEScenter_img Trending Articles PLAY LIST 00:50Trending Articles00:50Trending Articles00:50Trending Articles02:42PH underwater hockey team aims to make waves in SEA Games01:44Philippines marks anniversary of massacre with calls for justice01:19Fire erupts in Barangay Tatalon in Quezon City01:07Trump talks impeachment while meeting NCAA athletes02:49World-class track facilities installed at NCC for SEA Games02:11Trump awards medals to Jon Voight, Alison Krauss SEA Games: Biñan football stadium stands out in preparedness, completion LOOK: Joyce Pring goes public with engagement to Juancho Triviño SEA Games hosting troubles anger Duterte Private companies step in to help SEA Games hosting Tim Cone sees his former players in Tey Teodoro: ‘He just caught my eye’ “We’re just so excited and happy that there is a concrete step for us to achieve our dream of sending a team to the Tokyo Olympics and this league will generate the most number of points for our country,” league owner Ronald Mascariñas told reporters.“I’m just so happy that our initial batch of players are really strong and this will be a real treat for the fans. Former professional and collegiate standouts are participating in this league.”FEATURED STORIESSPORTSPrivate companies step in to help SEA Games hostingSPORTSUrgent reply from Philippine ‍football chiefSPORTSWin or don’t eat: the Philippines’ poverty-driven, world-beating pool starsCreating a 3X3 league boosts the country’s objective of garnering ranking points to qualify for the Tokyo Games.“Without this league, there will be no hope. Let’s say goodbye to our Olympic dream for 3X3. So this is our only way for our country to have a chance because with 12 teams playing, every time they play they rank up points for the country,” Mascariñas said. SEA Games: Biñan football stadium stands out in preparedness, completionlast_img read more

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Ministers Wish Participants Luck For NTL

first_imgMinister Annesley said he was delighted to see Touch Football events of this calibre in New South Wales.“Touch Football is growing in popularity in Australia and around the world and I’m sure the National Touch League will be a great success for competitors and for the town of Port Macquarie,” Minister Annesley said. “As one of the stunning New South Wales coastline’s busiest holiday destinations, Port Macquarie is an ideal location for the 2012 National Touch League, with a wide variety of accommodation styles and other facilities available for the 2,500+ competitors.  “This is one of many Touch Football events that the NSW Government, through Destination NSW, has secured to drive benefits to the NSW visitor economy,” he said. The NSW Government, through Destination NSW, has secured a Touch Football package for New South Wales, which will see numerous Touch Football events held in various locations across the state leading to the Touch Football Word Cup in New South Wales in 2015.Member for Port Macquarie, Leslie Williams said the fact that Port Macquarie is hosting the 2012 X-Blades National Touch League is very positive news.“Port Macquarie’s calendar of events is only getting stronger and to have the X-Blades National Touch League here in the lead up to the 2015 Touch Football World Cup is a great honour.“The event will be great for the community, providing exciting competitive action and attracting visitors to the area.”To keep up-to-date with all of the latest news and information in the lead up to and during the event, please visit the NTL website:www.ntl.mytouchfooty.com Be sure to ‘like’ and ‘follow’ the Touch Football Australia (TFA) Facebook and Twitter pages in the lead up to the 2012 X-Blades NTL to keep up-to-date with all of the latest news and information:www.facebook.com/touchfootballaustralia www.twitter.com/touchfootyaus (be sure to use the hashtag #NTL2012 if you are mentioning the NTL)TFA’s YouTube channel will also be updated frequently during the NTL. To view the channel or become a subscriber, please click on the link below: www.youtube.com/touchfootballauslast_img read more

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Our NBA Player Projections Are Ready For 201819

Beno Udrih-0.6-1.5-2.2435-0.10.1 Montrezl Harrell+0.3+0.0+0.314090.86.0 Donald Sloan-0.7-1.4-2.1352-0.10.4 Jameer Nelson-1.3-2.1-3.4701-0.70.1 Larry Nance Jr.-0.7+2.4+1.617242.312.2 Bam Adebayo-1.2+1.5+0.317980.915.2 Sources: ESPN.com, Basketball-Reference.com Mike Muscala-0.8+0.6-0.212800.22.4 SF-1.4-0.2-1.6 Vince Edwards-1.5-1.2-2.7287-0.21.2 C-1.7+1.3-0.4 Dante Exum-0.1-0.6-0.710570.77.2 Shabazz Muhammad-0.9-2.5-3.5727-0.70.4 Marvin Bagley III-0.7-0.8-1.51693-0.715.2 Gorgui Dieng-1.7+1.4-0.314990.32.4 Miles Plumlee-3.6+0.8-2.8700-0.80.1 Justin Patton-1.9+0.3-1.6343-0.21.4 Jordan Clarkson+0.2-2.1-2.01694-0.22.2 Marcus Morris-0.6-0.4-1.116280.11.8 Robin Lopez-2.8+0.8-2.11472-1.30.2 Jimmy Butler+3.3+1.4+4.723108.338.3 Tim Hardaway Jr.+1.2-1.1+0.220572.39.9 Spencer Dinwiddie+1.7-0.7+1.020223.017.1 Ray Spalding-2.1+0.8-1.32610.02.7 Isaiah Whitehead-1.4-0.7-2.2899-0.22.6 Troy Brown-1.5-0.9-2.5936-0.312.9 Joakim Noah-2.6+1.8-0.9348-0.10.2 LeBron James+5.4+0.8+6.2276411.541.0 Kawhi Leonard+2.6+1.9+4.616705.622.3 Chris Bosh-1.2+0.9-0.35710.10.9 James Jones-1.7-1.1-2.8391-0.30.1 Markieff Morris-1.4+0.6-0.717310.42.4 Gary Neal-2.3-1.8-4.1273-0.40.0 Matt Barnes-1.5-0.5-2.0750-0.20.3 Wesley Johnson-2.5+1.7-0.910850.51.5 Marvin Williams+0.0+0.4+0.417601.74.5 Amir Johnson-1.2+2.5+1.212301.43.6 Anthony Tolliver+0.2-0.7-0.512540.41.3 Mario Chalmers-1.1-0.1-1.39720.20.9 Yogi Ferrell+0.2-0.7-0.618731.38.0 Robert Covington-0.2+3.0+2.822745.223.5 Ricky Rubio+1.3+0.9+2.223105.021.1 Kemba Walker+4.1-1.5+2.626256.326.0 Andre Iguodala-0.6+1.1+0.514581.73.5 Brice Johnson+0.2+0.8+1.0840.10.8 Boris Diaw-2.6-0.4-3.0426-0.40.0 Goran Dragic+1.2-1.4-0.320001.64.7 Bradley Beal+2.8-1.2+1.627055.327.4 DeMarcus Cousins+2.4+2.2+4.521006.026.5 Russell Westbrook+6.3+1.0+7.3248112.452.7 Kyle Anderson-0.7+3.0+2.319313.822.2 John Wall+2.4-0.2+2.222524.920.0 Enes Kanter+0.6-0.2+0.318410.84.8 Timofey Mozgov-3.7+0.8-2.8512-0.70.0 Kelly Olynyk+0.8+1.3+2.117972.813.0 T.J. McConnell-1.3-0.1-1.316020.33.6 Chimezie Metu-2.8+0.3-2.5296-0.31.3 Shabazz Napier+0.2-0.6-0.513191.04.6 Lucas Nogueira-1.7+3.6+1.910691.47.3 Terry Rozier+1.0-0.4+0.719292.515.9 Reggie Jackson+0.7-2.1-1.414370.32.0 Kenrich Williams-0.8+0.0-0.91620.01.1 Kostas Antetokounmpo-3.8+0.0-3.8172-0.21.1 Bojan Bogdanovic-0.4-1.7-2.21770-0.41.3 LaMarcus Aldridge+0.5+1.1+1.622963.07.6 Carmelo Anthony-0.2-1.3-1.51824-0.11.1 David Nwaba-1.4-0.6-2.01261-0.12.3 Joe Young-1.0-1.9-2.9584-0.40.8 Andzejs Pasecniks-0.3+0.5+0.21980.12.9 Tristan Thompson-1.3+0.1-1.31271-0.41.1 Bonzie Colson-1.3+0.1-1.11850.01.6 James Johnson-0.6+1.4+0.817402.16.1 Rashad Vaughn-1.2-1.0-2.1659-0.12.0 Nemanja Bjelica-0.7+0.7+0.113081.13.1 Skal Labissiere-1.7+0.1-1.61373-0.43.2 Kevin Love+1.6+0.8+2.418873.310.7 Hassan Whiteside-2.2+2.9+0.816751.46.0 Alize Johnson-1.0-1.2-2.2254-0.21.1 Langston Galloway-0.1-1.0-1.111580.52.9 Malcolm Delaney-1.8-1.2-2.9928-0.60.4 Fred VanVleet+1.5-0.2+1.316572.716.7 Landry Shamet-0.9-2.0-3.0501-0.32.8 Damion Lee-1.1-0.3-1.48830.32.6 Kobe Bryant-1.4-1.6-3.0380-0.20.1 Joel Embiid+0.8+3.3+4.119444.828.9 Isaiah Taylor-1.0-1.4-2.41000-0.42.0 Marcus Smart+0.2+0.8+1.020933.319.7 MiKyle McIntosh-2.2-1.3-3.4105-0.10.2 Chris Paul+5.1+0.9+6.021209.132.4 Jared Sullinger-1.2+0.8-0.55940.21.9 D.J. Augustin+0.3-2.1-1.81255-0.10.9 Tayshaun Prince-2.9-0.6-3.5374-0.40.1 Harry Giles-1.0+0.1-0.92700.03.5 Jerome Robinson-1.2-1.8-2.9886-0.64.3 Ian Clark-1.0-2.1-3.21059-0.70.6 How good are replacement-level NBA players?Based on performance of players signed to minimum or two-way contracts, 2014-15 through 2017-18 Ian Mahinmi-2.7+2.1-0.6886-0.10.5 Solomon Hill-1.4+0.5-0.910110.42.4 Clint Capela-0.5+2.4+1.920672.714.1 Jason Terry-2.8-0.7-3.4437-0.40.0 Grayson Allen-0.8-1.6-2.5568-0.22.9 Rodney Stuckey-1.7-1.2-2.9415-0.20.2 Trevor Ariza+0.0+0.7+0.721342.76.4 Jrue Holiday+1.4+0.6+1.925975.420.5 Tyrone Wallace-1.5-0.4-1.91268-0.13.1 CJ McCollum+2.1-1.8+0.325762.912.5 Willie Cauley-Stein-1.5+1.6+0.219080.66.2 Eric Bledsoe+2.1-0.5+1.722184.115.9 Kentavious Caldwell-Pope+1.1-0.4+0.623893.416.4 Steven Adams+0.1+1.7+1.823943.015.0 Toney Douglas-0.8-0.7-1.54310.00.5 Serge Ibaka-1.1+0.7-0.318660.63.0 Jaylen Brown+0.4+0.2+0.622192.622.8 Joe Ingles+0.9+0.9+1.721243.712.2 Guerschon Yabusele-0.7+0.3-0.46570.33.5 Jayson Tatum+1.2+1.7+2.927296.551.9 Noah Vonleh-2.3+0.7-1.61223-0.32.8 J.J. Barea+0.9-2.3-1.512060.21.1 Steve Blake-1.3-1.5-2.8407-0.20.2 Mason Plumlee-0.8+1.8+1.016101.55.6 Aaron Gordon+1.0+0.3+1.323013.322.5 Myles Turner-0.9+2.2+1.322382.519.5 Iman Shumpert-1.3-0.2-1.59950.21.6 Paul Zipser-3.1-0.5-3.6798-0.80.7 Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk-2.0-1.6-3.6318-0.31.7 Dewayne Dedmon-1.9+2.3+0.415050.73.3 Joe Harris+0.1-1.6-1.515250.43.5 Gary Trent Jr.-2.2-1.8-4.0474-0.53.7 Luke Kornet-1.2+0.6-0.78830.23.9 Thaddeus Young-1.1+1.5+0.421542.05.5 Brook Lopez-0.4+0.8+0.417280.72.7 Dejounte Murray-0.8+1.9+1.218553.026.6 Joe Johnson-2.1-1.2-3.4821-0.70.2 David Lee-1.2+1.2+0.15710.30.7 Patrick McCaw-1.9-1.1-3.01131-0.72.2 Kendrick Perkins-3.2+0.5-2.7183-0.20.0 Anthony Morrow-1.5-1.8-3.3311-0.20.1 DeMarre Carroll-0.3+0.5+0.317731.74.5 Zach Collins-2.4+0.5-1.91473-1.24.8 Nicolas Batum+0.5-0.2+0.220602.36.5 Brandan Wright-1.6+1.1-0.65340.10.7 Elfrid Payton+0.9-0.8+0.220672.113.3 Dennis Smith Jr.+0.1-1.5-1.422690.414.2 John Henson-2.1+2.1+0.115850.73.8 George Hill+0.8-0.7+0.116201.74.3 Brandon McCoy-3.3-0.5-3.8156-0.30.4 Moritz Wagner-2.0-0.4-2.5487-0.61.7 Dwayne Bacon-2.6-0.4-3.0910-0.61.9 John Collins-0.5+1.2+0.721961.923.3 Travis Wear-1.6+0.1-1.54100.01.0 Mitchell Robinson-2.4+0.1-2.4337-0.41.7 Maurice Harkless-0.6+0.7+0.116001.47.9 Gerald Green-0.9-1.2-2.1806-0.20.4 Kris Humphries-2.6+0.0-2.5299-0.20.1 Al Horford+0.5+1.9+2.421463.510.3 Ish Smith-0.2-0.8-1.017100.62.3 Marquese Chriss-1.4+0.7-0.818380.412.1 Darren Collison+1.4-1.5-0.117991.64.7 Devonte’ Graham-0.4-1.6-2.0413-0.12.0 Markelle Fultz-1.3-0.5-1.99900.013.7 Alan Williams-1.8+1.2-0.65880.01.4 Chris McCullough-1.2+0.0-1.24060.01.9 Tyler Lydon-0.6+0.3-0.42720.22.9 Jabari Parker+0.4-1.0-0.615410.67.2 Derrick Jones Jr.-1.1+0.0-1.17890.12.9 Tony Carr-1.5-2.0-3.5341-0.31.8 Michael Porter Jr.-1.9-0.2-2.1887-0.47.8 Elie Okobo-0.9-1.5-2.4252-0.13.2 Nicolas Brussino-2.3-1.1-3.4285-0.21.1 Thon Maker-1.5+0.5-1.01390-0.35.2 Greg Monroe-0.3+0.9+0.614781.14.0 Davis Bertans+0.3+0.4+0.712771.58.2 Chandler Parsons-1.1-0.7-1.8879-0.10.6 Alex Len-1.7+1.4-0.215520.23.6 Isaac Haas-3.4-0.4-3.870-0.10.0 Shaquille Harrison-0.4+0.1-0.38810.75.0 Tyler Johnson+0.2-0.5-0.319611.77.9 JaVale McGee-1.7+1.1-0.6700-0.10.5 Paul George+2.1+0.6+2.726406.225.1 Justin Anderson-0.9-0.9-1.79240.02.4 Josh Magette-0.9-1.5-2.4379-0.20.8 Robert Williams-1.7+1.5-0.35380.06.3 Roy Hibbert-3.2+1.7-1.6445-0.30.1 Malik Monk-0.4-2.9-3.41313-1.12.9 Shelvin Mack-0.4-1.2-1.612130.11.6 Mohamed Bamba-1.8+2.3+0.612520.717.8 Sergio Rodriguez-0.8-1.8-2.6583-0.30.2 Devon Hall-1.2-1.6-2.8217-0.10.8 Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot-1.1-0.9-2.01144-0.23.6 Darius Miller+0.6-1.6-1.113350.42.7 Damian Lillard+5.4-1.5+3.925918.137.4 Denzel Valentine-0.3-0.4-0.618011.28.8 Karl-Anthony Towns+4.0+0.8+4.826347.649.4 Jarrett Jack-1.2-1.2-2.4940-0.40.4 Nerlens Noel-2.1+3.1+1.012581.17.6 Jeff Teague+1.3-0.9+0.422072.56.9 Torrey Craig-1.6-0.9-2.6723-0.30.7 Dorian Finney-Smith-2.0+0.0-2.0980-0.41.3 Andrew White III-2.7-1.3-4.0420-0.50.6 Jerian Grant+0.5-1.0-0.515771.16.9 Marcus Georges-Hunt-1.2-1.2-2.4379-0.11.3 Frank Ntilikina-1.8-0.3-2.11839-0.411.0 C.J. Williams-1.8-0.5-2.3830-0.20.9 Mike James-0.1-1.4-1.59100.11.5 Kris Dunn-0.6+0.4-0.217781.511.7 Josh McRoberts-2.0+0.0-2.0295-0.10.2 Michael Carter-Williams-1.5+0.9-0.510880.73.9 Overall-1.2-0.3-1.5 Melvin Frazier-1.5-0.8-2.3375-0.12.5 Derrick Favors-0.9+1.6+0.718671.46.4 Ersan Ilyasova-0.4+0.2-0.215760.82.5 Gary Clark-1.0+0.6-0.41780.11.7 2018-19 ProjectionLong-TERM Zaza Pachulia-1.5+2.0+0.69510.51.3 Tony Snell-0.4-1.2-1.617680.12.8 DeAndre’ Bembry-2.2+0.1-2.1762-0.31.6 Tyler Dorsey-0.4-2.4-2.81213-0.62.2 Anfernee Simons-1.7-1.4-3.0698-0.48.0 Devin Harris+0.2-0.9-0.89660.51.3 Taj Gibson-1.3+0.6-0.718560.31.6 Seth Curry+0.5-1.1-0.611870.83.4 Brandon Knight-0.4-2.2-2.7757-0.40.7 Tyson Chandler-2.2+1.9-0.39280.00.4 Stephen Curry+6.8-0.2+6.620889.642.8 Darrun Hilliard-1.8-0.9-2.7378-0.21.1 Ante Zizic-1.2+0.4-0.85650.02.8 Jordan Bell+0.0+2.8+2.813102.516.4 Andre Roberson-1.5+2.4+0.916632.410.8 DJ Hogg-2.3-0.7-3.1144-0.10.5 Jevon Carter-0.1-0.5-0.65500.36.2 Hollis Thompson-1.2-1.1-2.3641-0.30.6 Zach LaVine+0.5-1.9-1.415620.46.1 Pascal Siakam-0.8+1.2+0.516401.49.6 Tyler Cavanaugh-0.6-0.5-1.18800.02.0 Kobi Simmons-2.1-2.1-4.2987-1.40.6 Deandre Ayton-0.5-0.2-0.71742-0.316.9 Nene-1.8+2.3+0.57670.51.1 Tony Allen-2.7+0.5-2.2513-0.10.3 Tony Parker-1.6-2.0-3.6724-0.80.0 Metta World Peace-2.3-0.3-2.6456-0.30.1 Mike Scott-1.1-1.1-2.1931-0.50.4 Tyler Zeller-2.3+0.6-1.7937-0.70.4 Brandon Ingram-0.4-0.4-0.823280.817.1 Malik Beasley-0.8-1.2-2.0750-0.12.8 Lou Williams+2.9-3.1-0.220611.95.2 Terrence Ross-0.6-0.3-0.813030.73.2 Jarred Vanderbilt-1.0+0.3-0.74140.213.1 Sam Dekker-1.0-0.3-1.310910.13.2 Jerami Grant-1.2-0.1-1.215520.13.6 Kevon Looney-1.1+1.7+0.711741.18.6 Bismack Biyombo-3.2+1.0-2.21302-1.30.6 Willie Reed-1.7+0.7-1.07020.00.9 PJ Tucker-1.1+0.8-0.317051.12.9 Kevin Knox-2.1-1.7-3.81039-1.44.8 Jaylen Barford-1.7-1.8-3.5133-0.10.4 Joffrey Lauvergne-1.8-0.3-2.1771-0.50.6 Donte DiVincenzo-0.8-1.6-2.3701-0.24.9 Ty Lawson-0.6-1.6-2.1795-0.20.3 Omer Asik-3.5+1.0-2.5386-0.40.0 Rawle Alkins-2.2-1.5-3.8170-0.21.0 SG-1.1-0.8-1.9 2018-19 CARMELO projections, in one chart Glenn Robinson III-1.1-0.4-1.59140.22.6 Quincy Acy-1.4-0.4-1.81069-0.31.0 Aaron Brooks-1.7-2.0-3.8309-0.40.1 Frank Kaminsky+0.4-0.5-0.117870.75.7 Dirk Nowitzki-1.6+0.5-1.11134-0.20.4 JR Smith-0.7-1.4-2.11342-0.20.7 Amar’e Stoudemire-2.1+1.0-1.13120.00.2 Sean Kilpatrick-1.0-2.1-3.2763-0.50.4 Khem Birch-1.4+0.9-0.58890.11.9 E’Twaun Moore-0.3-1.3-1.618260.22.0 Andrew Harrison-0.5-0.6-1.115950.56.8 Juancho Hernangomez-0.5-0.7-1.18810.03.3 Rudy Gobert-0.7+4.7+4.121225.323.9 Anthony Brown-1.5-1.4-2.9440-0.31.4 Omri Casspi-1.4+0.3-1.28370.20.9 Isaiah Thomas+2.4-3.6-1.215150.42.1 Marcus Thornton-1.4-1.7-3.1401-0.30.2 Corey Brewer-2.4+0.5-1.9898-0.10.5 Bogdan Bogdanovic+0.4-1.6-1.219890.75.5 Rajon Rondo-1.0-0.4-1.413360.21.5 Dakota Mathias-1.3-1.5-2.8155-0.10.6 Dwight Howard-1.7+2.2+0.520721.03.0 Paul Millsap-0.5+1.9+1.316892.35.5 Justin Jackson-2.0-1.0-3.0256-0.23.5 Derrick White-0.5-0.2-0.71660.10.4 Issuf Sanon-1.2-1.3-2.5153-0.13.6 Anthony Davis+1.7+3.2+4.925738.242.4 Trevor Booker-1.6+0.7-0.911460.11.0 Jarell Martin-2.5+0.1-2.41274-0.91.2 Wayne Selden-0.8-1.6-2.4915-0.21.9 Jerryd Bayless-1.2-1.7-2.9798-0.50.3 Brandon Rush-2.2-1.0-3.3428-0.30.1 Richaun Holmes-0.8+0.8+0.011890.54.4 Richard Jefferson-2.2-1.5-3.6426-0.50.0 Jordan McRae-1.4-1.1-2.4325-0.20.4 Festus Ezeli-1.9+1.2-0.63520.00.7 Myke Henry-1.7+0.4-1.37550.02.4 Cedi Osman-0.7-0.7-1.39710.23.8 Dario Saric+0.7-0.3+0.422512.213.6 Chris Andersen-3.3+1.1-2.2312-0.30.0 Ekpe Udoh-1.6+3.7+2.15530.82.2 Lauri Markkanen+0.1-0.4-0.322691.017.4 Jamil Wilson-1.1-0.2-1.36030.01.4 Justise Winslow-1.3+1.1-0.118321.412.4 Jawun Evans-1.6-0.7-2.31115-0.43.5 Will Barton+1.0-1.0+0.021902.29.0 Aron Baynes-3.3+1.9-1.4972-0.30.4 Zhaire Smith-1.2-0.4-1.69200.015.3 Doug McDermott-0.6-2.0-2.61377-0.80.9 DeAndre Liggins-2.6+0.2-2.4680-0.20.5 Ben McLemore-1.6-1.4-3.01037-0.61.0 Boban Marjanovic-1.6+1.4-0.24490.00.8 Tyreke Evans+1.7-0.1+1.517173.110.4 The overall effect of these changes is, first, to boost the value of guards and wings relative to big men, and second, to increase the value of star players relative to average ones. (If you can sign a guy who’s only slightly below average for the minimum salary, you shouldn’t pay that much of a premium to grab a merely average player instead.) We think this brings CARMELO a little closer to how NBA teams actually value players.3This higher replacement level also implies that there are a fair number of sub-replacement-level players who get regular playing time in the league. We think this makes sense too; a lot of these players are in their first or second NBA seasons, and the NBA is a tough league for rookies — but getting them regular playing time is important to their long-term development. Also, let’s be honest: a handful of NBA teams each season are tanking, and may deliberately employ counterproductive players.One other small modification is that we now issue projections for American-born players who had little or no NCAA playing time, such as Anfernee Simons (who decided to forgo his college eligibility) or Michael Porter Jr. (who played only three games at Missouri because of injury).4The adjusted college statistics provided to us by ESPN’s Stats & Information Group for our rookie projections are calculated for the top 100 draft prospects only, so we also use this method for rookies who fell outside the top 100 but who nonetheless require a projection. These projections use a limited set of information — namely the player’s position, height, weight, age, draft position, and their career number of NCAA minutes played. (Our regular projections for rookies, by contrast, use NCAA stats that have been adjusted for pace and opponent quality, as provided to us by ESPN’s Stats & Information Group). Last year, we’d introduced similar projections for players who played in Europe (or another international league) rather than the NCAA; this is simply an extension of that system for players who neither played in Europe nor the NCAA.Finally, as a small token of appreciation our for people who made it through this entire story on methodology, here are our new CARMELO projections in capsule form, with a summary of 2018-19 as well as long-term projections for the more than 600 players in our system. Have fun browsing through the CARMELOs and enjoying the drama of the NBA offseason. Jaren Jackson Jr.-2.5+1.7-0.91456-0.117.9 Kyle Collinsworth-1.6+0.1-1.47330.11.7 Thomas Welsh-2.3+0.2-2.1219-0.20.7 Norman Powell-1.2-1.0-2.21034-0.21.9 Matthew Dellavedova-1.0-1.8-2.81056-0.60.7 Khris Middleton+1.3-0.5+0.823773.313.6 Shane Larkin-0.6-0.9-1.58980.12.3 Cole Aldrich-2.1+2.2+0.14880.11.0 Paul Pierce-3.4-0.3-3.8305-0.40.0 Jon Leuer-1.8+0.4-1.5892-0.20.7 Mike Dunleavy-1.5-1.4-2.9425-0.20.1 Thomas Robinson-1.8+0.3-1.5560-0.11.1 Josh Hart+0.5-0.7-0.317671.611.9 Danny Green-1.4+1.4+0.015621.54.4 Isaac Bonga-1.7-0.7-2.3166-0.14.7 Kevin Seraphin-2.6+0.2-2.3424-0.50.1 Briante Weber-1.0-0.7-1.75480.02.0 Randy Foye-2.4-1.1-3.5426-0.40.1 De’Anthony Melton-1.8+0.3-1.54510.19.4 Troy Williams-1.6+0.1-1.58010.02.7 Jusuf Nurkic-1.9+3.3+1.419192.013.5 Henry Ellenson-1.5-0.1-1.5707-0.22.7 Rodney McGruder-0.6-1.0-1.59580.22.0 Pau Gasol-0.9+2.3+1.415321.83.0 Cody Zeller-0.7+2.1+1.515111.99.5 Jose Calderon-1.2-1.1-2.3653-0.20.3 TJ Warren-0.1-1.4-1.519360.14.3 Tarik Black-2.6+1.1-1.6820-0.31.0 Tony Bradley-0.8-1.0-1.8233-0.21.0 Nikola Jokic+4.0+2.1+6.221818.349.7 Chris Johnson-1.8+0.9-0.9335-0.10.6 Channing Frye-0.3+0.1-0.26900.30.6 Marc Gasol-0.7+1.8+1.220751.84.5 Kirk Hinrich-1.7-1.7-3.4316-0.30.2 Wesley Matthews-0.7-1.1-1.91789-0.11.2 James Michael McAdoo-2.0+0.4-1.6394-0.10.8 Wilson Chandler-1.0-0.6-1.616300.01.3 Thabo Sefolosha-1.8+1.8-0.19970.91.9 Ramon Sessions-1.7-1.4-3.1546-0.40.1 Kevin Martin-1.4-1.4-2.9343-0.20.1 P.J. Hairston-1.4-1.0-2.4442-0.11.1 Salah Mejri-2.9+3.5+0.68790.51.0 Courtney Lee-0.4-1.2-1.717230.21.6 Doral Moore-3.1+1.0-2.1107-0.10.4 Derrick Williams-1.7-0.9-2.6483-0.40.3 Kevin Huerter-1.5-1.4-3.0793-0.57.6 Josh Huestis-2.8+0.7-2.1790-0.30.6 James Anderson-1.6-0.8-2.3314-0.10.5 Terrence Jones-1.6-0.1-1.7870-0.30.9 Sterling Brown-1.9-0.2-2.11001-0.13.3 Justin Hamilton-1.9+0.6-1.2703-0.30.5 Trey Lyles-0.1-0.2-0.316100.77.3 Donatas Motiejunas-1.9+0.6-1.4480-0.10.7 Justin Jackson-1.4-0.9-2.31525-0.63.5 Josh Smith-2.8-0.6-3.4296-0.30.0 Luke Babbitt-0.8-0.8-1.68280.00.9 Pat Connaughton-0.4-1.3-1.710990.12.5 Giannis Antetokounmpo+3.1+2.4+5.525589.857.3 Willy Hernangomez-0.8+1.3+0.511210.54.9 D.J. Wilson-1.3-0.5-1.7398-0.11.3 Jeff Withey-2.4+1.4-1.0393-0.10.3 Kent Bazemore-0.8+0.5-0.217401.65.2 Garrett Temple-1.5-0.3-1.812530.00.9 Darrell Arthur-1.7+0.3-1.4487-0.10.4 Nick Young-0.3-2.2-2.5902-0.30.3 Michael Beasley-1.1-0.5-1.61235-0.20.9 Dragan Bender-1.9+0.0-1.82020-0.810.2 Cory Joseph-0.3-0.9-1.218180.53.8 Jamal Crawford-0.9-4.0-4.9864-1.40.0 Evan Fournier+1.0-1.5-0.520041.47.1 Buddy Hield+0.9-1.4-0.519261.49.8 Emmanuel Mudiay-0.7-2.1-2.81429-0.93.1 Marcin Gortat-2.2+1.6-0.71639-0.20.8 Vince Carter-1.3-0.6-1.98550.00.4 Arnoldas Kulboka-2.0-0.5-2.5600.01.5 Eric Gordon+1.5-1.4+0.120102.26.3 Ron Baker-1.6-0.3-1.87240.02.2 Monta Ellis-1.8-0.8-2.6897-0.40.3 Jeff Green-1.2-0.7-1.91296-0.40.5 Dwyane Wade-1.4-0.6-1.911620.00.4 Austin Rivers+0.8-1.8-1.019730.95.4 Gerald Henderson-1.6-1.6-3.3650-0.50.2 Marcelo Huertas-2.0-1.7-3.7285-0.30.0 Nick Collison-2.0+0.1-2.0358-0.20.1 Lance Thomas-2.5-0.8-3.3879-0.90.1 Damyean Dotson-1.0-0.9-2.07420.02.0 Mike Miller-1.8-0.2-2.0395-0.10.2 Mike Conley+2.1-1.0+1.115232.46.1 Otto Porter Jr.+2.6+1.2+3.824157.037.7 Khyri Thomas-0.9-1.3-2.2353-0.12.6 Royce O’Neale-1.1+1.0-0.113111.06.3 K.J. McDaniels-1.5-0.5-2.0423-0.11.3 Plus-Minus (Points per 100 possessions) Trae Young+0.2-1.8-1.618070.116.6 Jakob Poeltl-0.8+2.1+1.315791.713.6 Spencer Hawes-2.0+0.8-1.2569-0.20.3 Carl Landry-1.9-0.1-2.0300-0.20.2 Ryan Arcidiacono-1.1-0.9-2.0626-0.11.9 Tim Duncan-1.7+1.5-0.24660.20.5 Aaron Harrison-1.3-0.7-2.06240.02.3 Alan Anderson-2.0-1.0-3.0280-0.20.0 Jeremy Lin-0.3-1.0-1.38700.21.0 Antonio Blakeney-1.2-1.6-2.8677-0.31.4 Evan Turner-2.2-0.2-2.31503-0.50.6 Dante Cunningham-1.9-0.2-2.11134-0.50.4 Andrea Bargnani-2.1+0.0-2.1328-0.20.0 Blake Griffin+2.0+0.5+2.420554.013.5 Taurean Prince-0.5-0.1-0.720091.18.7 Johnny O’Bryant III-2.1-0.2-2.4542-0.40.7 Alec Burks-1.1-1.0-2.1944-0.11.3 Ronnie Price-1.7-1.0-2.7314-0.20.0 Isaiah Canaan-0.5-1.6-2.1846-0.21.1 Lavoy Allen-2.2+0.1-2.1531-0.30.3 Nikola Vucevic-0.7+2.3+1.619672.28.3 Alex Caruso-1.6-0.2-1.78360.02.5 Tyler Ennis-0.8-0.6-1.49400.13.7 Jamal Murray+2.4-2.0+0.423732.926.2 Caris LeVert-0.1-0.6-0.618010.97.9 Gordon Hayward+2.1-0.4+1.711122.27.3 Jahlil Okafor-2.5+0.2-2.4898-1.00.7 Victor Oladipo+2.2+1.5+3.724897.738.0 Al Jefferson-2.7+0.6-2.1532-0.50.1 OG Anunoby+0.4+0.5+0.920572.927.5 Zach Randolph-1.5-1.4-2.91050-1.10.1 Jared Dudley-1.3+0.3-1.08140.20.8 Kyle O’Quinn-0.9+2.3+1.414041.76.6 Justin Holiday-0.7+0.0-0.618321.24.6 Collin Sexton-0.6-2.5-3.11254-1.08.3 Miles Bridges-1.3-0.9-2.21010-0.57.7 Abdel Nader-3.2-0.6-3.9525-0.70.4 Danuel House-0.9-1.3-2.2576-0.11.4 Brandon Jennings-0.4-1.6-2.0771-0.10.6 Kristaps Porzingis+0.0+2.3+2.320523.725.6 Malcolm Brogdon+0.7-1.1-0.417961.48.1 Julius Randle+0.4-0.1+0.320401.29.0 Chase Budinger-1.6-0.3-2.0289-0.10.4 Gary Harris+2.0-1.0+0.923883.722.1 PositionOffenseDefenseCombined C.J. Watson-2.2-1.2-3.4317-0.30.1 Just in time for the NBA’s free agent bonanza (headlined by LeBron James’s The Decision: Part III), FiveThirtyEight has re-launched CARMELO, our NBA player projection system, with forecasts for 2018-19 and beyond. Jordan Mickey-2.1+0.2-1.9537-0.21.2 Avery Bradley-1.0-1.3-2.21558-0.31.2 Anderson Varejao-2.9+1.2-1.7347-0.30.0 Ryan Anderson+0.4-1.2-0.816000.21.6 Maxi Kleber-1.9+0.5-1.51225-0.31.6 Jason Smith-3.0+0.4-2.6451-0.40.1 Jodie Meeks-0.9-2.0-2.9682-0.40.3 Rodney Purvis-1.9-1.7-3.6504-0.50.6 Devin Booker+2.0-2.4-0.422721.818.2 Arron Afflalo-2.4-2.2-4.6568-0.90.0 Rodney Hood+0.1-1.8-1.715990.23.2 Charlie Villanueva-2.6+0.0-2.6271-0.20.1 Dion Waiters-0.5-1.0-1.514130.32.3 Luol Deng-2.1+0.5-1.66300.00.4 Andrew Nicholson-2.3+0.0-2.3363-0.20.3 Jonathan Isaac-2.4+2.1-0.312960.713.1 Harrison Barnes-0.2-1.0-1.222590.13.0 Allonzo Trier-2.2-2.3-4.5118-0.20.2 Luke Kennard+0.2-0.7-0.517161.414.2 Kevin Hervey-1.6-0.7-2.3273-0.11.8 Kyle Kuzma+0.3-1.0-0.723190.58.4 Delon Wright+0.7+0.5+1.315412.513.0 Theo Pinson-1.5-0.7-2.31440.00.8 Marco Belinelli-0.1-2.2-2.41292-0.30.6 Danilo Gallinari+0.4-0.2+0.315661.54.0 Shaun Livingston-2.0-0.3-2.4855-0.30.4 Kelly Oubre Jr.-0.3-0.5-0.820260.99.6 Mario Hezonja-1.0-0.5-1.515510.15.5 Marreese Speights-0.7+0.0-0.68450.10.8 Josh Okogie-1.3-1.1-2.4823-0.29.6 Sindarius Thornwell-2.0+0.6-1.412860.45.4 Josh Richardson-0.2+0.6+0.422772.715.0 JaMychal Green-1.4-0.3-1.71536-0.51.2 David West-1.7+2.7+0.98000.81.2 Andrew Bogut-3.8+2.8-1.0443-0.20.2 Mo Williams-1.1-1.7-2.9334-0.20.1 Wayne Ellington+0.7-1.8-1.114710.62.3 Jae Crowder-0.1-0.4-0.419111.14.5 Trey Burke+1.2-2.8-1.611210.12.3 Archie Goodwin-0.3-1.4-1.75780.12.2 Domantas Sabonis-1.0+0.7-0.319960.68.9 Jonas Valanciunas-0.4+1.0+0.718351.16.0 Damian Jones-1.8-0.1-1.9590.00.1 Brandon Bass-2.0-0.5-2.4361-0.30.1 Patrick Patterson-0.6+0.5-0.113160.72.5 Kevin Garnett-2.3-0.1-2.4436-0.30.0 Bruce Brown Jr.-1.1-0.6-1.73320.03.2 Eric Moreland-2.6+2.7+0.18740.63.5 Troy Daniels+0.1-3.4-3.21136-0.80.7 Leandro Barbosa-1.4-1.7-3.1348-0.20.1 Rudy Gay-1.0+0.7-0.312020.72.0 Milos Teodosic-0.2-1.2-1.310810.31.5 Raul Neto-0.5-0.7-1.28440.22.4 Klay Thompson+1.6-1.1+0.623763.211.6 Jacob Evans-1.3-0.6-1.95640.06.2 Norris Cole-1.1-1.4-2.5314-0.10.2 De’Aaron Fox-0.6-2.0-2.52198-1.08.3 Ivan Rabb-1.1-0.2-1.3990-0.13.8 Lonzo Ball+0.4+2.1+2.524815.845.3 CARMELO NBA Player Projections: Our probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like, based on similar players throughout history. See our projections for 2018-19 and beyond » Luis Scola-1.8-0.8-2.6376-0.30.0 Jeremy Lamb+1.1-0.7+0.418192.310.2 Meyers Leonard-1.0+0.3-0.7854-0.11.2 Shake Milton-1.6-1.4-3.1279-0.21.4 Jonas Jerebko-1.2+0.0-1.29230.10.8 Terrance Ferguson-1.2-1.5-2.81081-0.52.7 Alexis Ajinca-3.2+1.5-1.7456-0.30.2 Keenan Evans-1.6-1.6-3.2188-0.20.9 Patty Mills+1.4-1.9-0.517551.23.5 Josh Jackson-1.2-0.8-2.01884-0.37.9 Adreian Payne-2.1+0.5-1.6476-0.10.8 Ed Davis-1.7+1.5-0.212310.41.9 Sasha Vujacic-2.1-0.6-2.7301-0.10.2 Trevon Duval-2.4-1.8-4.2200-0.31.4 O.J. Mayo-1.4-0.6-1.93850.00.4 Markel Brown-1.4-1.3-2.7306-0.10.5 Hamidou Diallo-2.2-1.9-4.1331-0.41.8 Tomas Satoransky+0.4+0.0+0.416201.99.5 Draymond Green+0.9+3.4+4.323327.028.6 Mirza Teletovic-1.2-1.1-2.4466-0.30.1 The basics of the system are largely similar to previous years, with the backbone of CARMELO remaining an algorithm that compares current players to past ones who had statistically similar profile through the same age. For instance, Utah Jazz phenom Donovan Mitchell is similar to players such as Gilbert Arenas, Ray Allen, Stephen Curry, Ben Gordon, Victor Oladipo and O.J. Mayo through this early point in their respective careers. Some of those players (Allen, Curry) became superstars, while others (Gordon, Mayo) didn’t really pan out. The combination of those good and not-so-good outcomes gives us a probabilistic forecast for the rest of Mitchell’s career.In a moment, I’ll describe the (relatively minor) changes to CARMELO this year, but first, a quick word about how the system did last season.How CARMELO Performed in 2017-18In the regular season, CARMELO performed very well, as its preseason projections were the second-most accurate of the 20 projection systems tracked by the statheads at the ABPRmetrics message board. It also correctly predicted the Warriors defeating the Cavaliers as the most likely NBA Finals matchup (not that this was a bold take, exactly).CARMELO was also among the most accurate regular-season prediction systems in its debut year in 2015-16, although it was one of the least accurate in 2016-17. What accounted for these differences? In 2015-16 and 2017-18, CARMELO used a combination of Real Plus-Minus and Box Plus/Minus to make its forecasts, whereas in 2016-17 it solely used BPM. (CARMELO uses a mix of two-thirds RPM and one-third BPM rather than weighting them equally.) While we’ll want another two or three season to know for sure, we strongly suspect that the RPM/BPM blend outperforms BPM alone.In addition to our preseason projections, we update our projections for teams — though not for individual players — during the season using a version of the Elo rating system. (These are our so-called “CARM-Elo” projections.) In contrast to our preseason projections, these in-season projections sometimes seemed pretty hinky last season, at least when it came to forecasting the NBA playoffs. Despite an adjustment that was meant to give extra credit to teams with more playoff experience, the system seemed to overcorrect based on how teams finished out their regular seasons — getting too bullish on the 76ers and Raptors, for example, and too bearish on the Warriors and Cavs.One potential shortcoming is that whereas our preseason projections use depth charts and projected playing time for each team, the in-season updates do not. For instance, they had no way to account for Curry’s injury late in the regular season and subsequent return in the second round of the playoffs. One solution could be to continuously update depth charts (and CARMELO player projections) throughout the season instead of just at the start of the year. We’re examining alternatives; just know, for now, that we think the preseason CARMELO projections are pretty smart, but that our Elo-based method for updating them during the season might require some rethinking.What’s Different In CARMELO for 2018-19The major fix to CARMELO this season isn’t a change in how the system projects players, but rather in how it values them. Like many modern statistical systems, CARMELO uses a notion of the replacement-level player in calculating player value. A replacement-level player, in theory, is someone who is freely or cheaply available, e.g. a G League player or someone signed to a contract for the league minimum salary.How good, or bad, are these sorts of players? They’re below-average — but it turns out they’re not that far below average. Over the past four seasons, players signed to minimum-salary contracts or two-way contracts subtract about 1.5 points per 100 possessions from a team’s scoring margin1According to our RPM/BPM blend from above. Also, note that this calculation is weighted by their playing time. Part of the benefit of picking guys up off the waiver wire is that you can churn through them quickly, cutting bait with unproductive players at little expense but occasionally finding a hidden gem, which helps raise the weighted average for these types of players., relative to an average player — somewhat better than the -2.0 points per 100 possessions that CARMELO had assumed before. Moreover, we found that the quality of replacement-level players differs quite a bit by position. As the NBA shifts to smaller lineups, it’s relatively easy to find reasonably productive bigs on the waiver wire (see my colleague Chris Herring’s story on the sad saga of Roy Hibbert). But it’s harder to find good wings or point guards. Thus, our calculation of wins above replacement is now position-based, using the values you see in the table below.2For players who split their time across multiple positions, we use a blend of his positions to calculate replacement level. Luka Doncic-1.0-1.2-2.21271-0.321.2 Dillon Brooks-0.7-0.6-1.222750.69.2 Dennis Schroder+1.4-2.4-0.920910.96.7 Kay Felder-1.0-1.8-2.8528-0.32.1 Jonathon Simmons-1.3-1.2-2.51452-0.60.9 Dwight Powell-0.6+1.5+0.916111.57.4 Allen Crabbe+0.4-1.6-1.219800.74.6 Tobias Harris+1.2-0.5+0.724692.711.6 Ivica Zubac-1.9+1.4-0.5960-0.14.0 Tiago Splitter-2.4+0.2-2.3255-0.20.1 Yante Maten-2.6-0.4-2.9173-0.20.6 Davon Reed-1.6-0.8-2.4597-0.22.5 Rondae Hollis-Jefferson-0.8+0.8+0.019311.611.2 Stanley Johnson-1.3+0.7-0.619261.011.6 Nik Stauskas-0.7-1.4-2.11059-0.12.2 Jordan Hill-2.0+0.3-1.8283-0.10.2 Emeka Okafor-2.7+1.8-0.9313-0.10.2 Okaro White-1.6-0.1-1.7511-0.20.8 Cheick Diallo-1.5+0.0-1.5864-0.22.1 Wes Iwundu-2.7-0.1-2.81091-0.72.0 PF-1.4+0.3-1.1 Nikola Mirotic+0.7+0.8+1.518382.610.9 Reggie Bullock+0.1-0.6-0.514951.15.0 Wendell Carter Jr.-1.4+0.7-0.61215-0.215.1 Bobby Portis+0.2-0.8-0.515760.56.2 Quinn Cook+0.1-2.3-2.3882-0.21.5 DeMar DeRozan+2.4-1.5+0.923313.511.6 Alex Abrines-0.1-1.4-1.511370.33.5 CJ Miles+0.2-1.4-1.211570.31.4 Isaiah Hicks-2.1-0.3-2.4532-0.40.9 Frank Mason-0.1-1.9-2.01160-0.22.5 Kenneth Faried-1.0-0.3-1.3874-0.10.8 Ryan Kelly-2.0+0.2-1.72900.00.8 Derrick Rose-0.8-2.2-3.0883-0.60.2 Andrew Wiggins+0.8-1.6-0.826251.413.2 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist-1.3+0.7-0.517961.17.5 D’Angelo Russell+1.5-1.7-0.218341.615.5 Jamel Artis-1.9-1.0-2.9518-0.30.9 Aaron Holiday-0.9-2.2-3.1547-0.42.2 Alec Peters-0.9-0.4-1.26540.02.3 Lance Stephenson-1.0-1.7-2.71163-0.60.7 Treveon Graham-1.0-0.9-1.99450.02.3 Jalen Brunson-0.9-2.4-3.2415-0.41.6 James Harden+6.6+0.1+6.7249611.853.8 Bryn Forbes-0.4-2.3-2.71084-0.51.5 Deron Williams+0.0-1.3-1.39080.20.8 Ben Simmons+2.5+2.3+4.825248.865.5 Player▲▼Off. +/-▲▼Def. +/-▲▼Tot. +/-▲▼Min.▲▼WAR▲▼7-Year Upside▲▼ Keita Bates-Diop-1.7-0.5-2.2255-0.21.1 Semi Ojeleye-3.1-0.9-4.01008-1.60.5 Dzanan Musa-1.7-0.6-2.4224-0.15.9 Cristiano Felicio-2.3-0.4-2.7965-1.10.4 Kyrie Irving+4.2-1.7+2.622515.326.2 TJ Leaf-1.1-1.2-2.3780-0.51.8 Brandon Paul-2.1+0.0-2.1627-0.11.1 JJ Redick+1.4-2.3-0.917571.02.5 Kosta Koufos-2.3+1.5-0.81239-0.11.2 Lonnie Walker IV-1.6-1.8-3.4749-0.65.9 Alonzo Gee-2.2-0.1-2.3330-0.10.2 Tim Frazier-1.0-0.7-1.710160.11.7 Donovan Mitchell+2.2-0.1+2.126745.945.6 Damjan Rudez-1.6-0.5-2.1335-0.10.1 JaKarr Sampson-2.4+0.7-1.7619-0.11.2 Patrick Beverley+0.3+0.1+0.414541.74.3 Tyus Jones+1.7+0.2+1.818373.629.1 Tyler Ulis-0.7-2.1-2.81487-0.83.0 Raymond Felton-1.2-1.2-2.31001-0.30.4 George King-1.7-1.8-3.5125-0.10.2 Mikal Bridges-0.9+0.1-0.811030.513.2 Luc Mbah a Moute-1.9+1.4-0.613710.61.8 Al-Farouq Aminu-0.7+1.9+1.120072.710.0 Cameron Payne-0.4-0.9-1.310770.24.0 Daniel Theis-1.3+1.9+0.612820.74.4 Pablo Prigioni-2.4-1.3-3.7364-0.40.0 Brian Roberts-1.7-1.8-3.5299-0.30.1 Chandler Hutchison-0.9-1.0-1.9539-0.13.8 Semaj Christon-2.0-1.6-3.7516-0.60.6 Rodions Kurucs-1.9-0.5-2.41170.02.5 Kyle Korver-0.2-1.0-1.210530.41.2 Deyonta Davis-1.7+0.3-1.41100-0.42.7 Andre Drummond-0.5+2.9+2.524633.919.8 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander-1.1-0.8-1.91109-0.114.0 Caleb Swanigan-0.7-1.6-2.2218-0.10.8 Malachi Richardson-1.1-1.0-2.2685-0.12.3 Manu Ginobili-1.7-0.4-2.1776-0.10.3 Kyle Singler-2.4-0.5-2.9300-0.20.1 James Ennis III-1.0-0.4-1.413720.22.2 Jarrett Allen-1.6+1.6+0.016890.412.0 Mindaugas Kuzminskas-2.8-1.3-4.1268-0.40.1 DeAndre Jordan-0.3+2.2+1.920942.79.1 Malik Newman-1.8-2.3-4.1147-0.20.4 PG-0.7-1.0-1.7 Kevin Durant+3.6+0.7+4.322016.827.3 Kyle Lowry+4.3-0.2+4.123197.528.2 Omari Spellman-1.6+0.2-1.4452-0.13.8 Dwight Buycks-1.4-1.0-2.4449-0.20.6 * Upside is a measure of WAR where values lower than zero are treated as zero instead. That is, it doesn’t punish a player for being below replacement level, but does reward him for being above replacement level. The 7-year calculation reflects the 2018-19 through 2024-25 seasons. read more

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Liverpool has set high to reach objectives

first_imgThe Reds manager Jürgen Klopp wants to try to taste Champions League final again, but also knows is important to aim to win the Premier LeagueIn a talk to Sky Sports’ Soccer Saturday, Liverpool boss Jürgen Klopp says his teams want to try to grab Champions League final glory again.“There are bigger problems in life than losing a Champions League final, so we all have bigger problems than losing a Champions League final,” he said.“We tried everything, it did not happen, so that is all. It is a long time ago and a waste of time having that in your mind. So no problem, we go again.”And to get to his objective he can count on players like Mohamed Salah.Jose Mourinho is sold on Lampard succeeding ar Chelsea Tomás Pavel Ibarra Meda – September 14, 2019 Jose Mourinho wanted to give his two cents on Frank Lampard’s odds as the new Chelsea FC manager, he thinks he will succeed.There really…“He wants to play good football, as good as he is able to do.”“I do not go to him every day and give him advice on how he scores 54 goals next season as actually, I have no clue,” Klopp added.“We try to help him all the time in training, he is a great boy, but I do not talk to him every day about how he can score more than last season.”Liverpool will host West Ham United today at Anfield, in the start of the 2018-2019 Premier League season.last_img read more

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Hughton Decisions favored Liverpool

first_imgBrighton manager Chris Hughton felt that the bulk of decisions went Liverpool’s way in their 1-0 home defeat to the league leaders.Mo Salah converted from the spot to give Liverpool a crucial 1-0 win at Brighton after the Egyptian was judged to have been fouled by Pascal Gross.Hughton, however, had no complaints about the penalty but believes that plenty other decisions favored them.“There’s no intent and referees have a hard job, but sometimes you feel things go your way and sometimes you feel some of the decisions don’t go your way,” Hughton told Sky Sports.“I felt today it was one of those days. No malice or anything towards the referee but I thought the bulk of decisions favored Liverpool today.Jadon Sancho, Borussia DortmundCrouch: Liverpool could beat Man United to Jadon Sancho Andrew Smyth – September 14, 2019 Peter Crouch wouldn’t be surprised to see Jadon Sancho end up at Liverpool one day instead of his long-term pursuers Manchester United.“On the balance of play, I thought we deserved something.“They are such a good side and the opportunities they had were when we were trying to get back into the game and put bodies forward and made the game a bit more open. I thought we restricted them to minimal chances.“Pascal Gross’ chance [a shot in the second half] was probably as good as any of their chances.“We were always in the game and discipline was really good from the team, which it has to be because they can open you up.“In the latter part of the game we went for it a bit and showed a real intent to get back on level terms and I thought for the feel of the game that we deserved something.”last_img read more

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